EPS estimates' relative deviation vs. actual results

Here's an easy comparison. Click to enlarge, sorry about the size and the uglyness.

Final Estimates for Fiscal Q2 2009

3mo ending Mar-2009:

FY09Q2    Revenue($B)  EPS($)
------    -----------  ------
Apple guidance   7.80    0.95
Analysts cons.   7.93    1.08
My estimate      8.45    1.29
My non-GAAP e.   8.90    1.47

Product  Units(M)
-------  --------
Mac          2.35
iPhone       3.10
iPod         9.50

3mo ending Jun-2009:

FY09Q3    Revenue($B)  EPS($)
------    -----------  ------
Analysts cons.   8.28    1.11
My estimate      8.68    1.31
My non-GAAP e.   8.54    1.25
Apple gd (est)   8.10    1.03

12mo ending Sep-2009:

FY09      Revenue($B)  EPS($)
----      -----------  ------
Analysts cons.  35.25    5.20
My estimate     37.00    5.88
My non-gaap e.  41.50    7.85

Stock valuation:

Window  12mo starting   EPS(e)  PPS(25x)
------  -------------   ------  --------
Trailing       Jul-08     5.63       141
Fair value     Jul-09     7.24       181
1-year target  Apr-10     8.91       223
Analysts mean target                 130

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